Market conditions

Fuel Weather

The motion follows real public market data. Pressure is the three-month price trend of the fossil fuel each low-carbon fuel competes with (for eFuels, the power that makes them); turbulence is how volatile it has been. Select a fuel for the numbers behind it.

Conditions, not forecasts.

Fuel Weather is an indicator of market conditions, not a price for any low-carbon fuel, and not investment advice. Public data from the U.S. EIA, Methanex and Ember. Updated automatically each week · Legal · Privacy · Cookies · Accessibility

How to read it

Tailwind or headwind

Each fuel is measured against the fossil price it’s up against, plus the support on the green side, compared with three months ago. Support growing faster than the gap is a tailwind; shrinking is a headwind.

FuelUp againstSupport on the green sidePublic sources

Green methanolGrey methanol (Methanex posted price)EU ETS carbon price; FuelEU penalty (fixed, so it won’t move the reading)Methanex, EU carbon price data

SAFJet fuelEU ETS; US RINs and LCFS creditsUS EIA, EPA, California Air Resources Board

Renewable dieselUltra-low-sulphur dieselUS RINs and LCFS creditsUS EIA, EPA, California Air Resources Board

RNGHenry Hub gasUS RINs (D3) and LCFS creditsUS EIA, EPA, California Air Resources Board

eFuelsFossil equivalentPower price (main input cost); EU ETSEmber, EU carbon price data

Green premium, 2025: about 3× fossil jet. Source: EASA ReFuelEU reference prices, published annually (SAF €1,925/t against €640/t for conventional jet).

Fuel Weather is an indicator of market conditions, not a price for any low-carbon fuel, and not investment advice.